Stock Market 2008 - Safe Growth Stock Investments for an Unpredictable Market

The stock market investing environment is certainly scary to a lot of investors in the short term. With fears of a recession on the horizon, along with problems like the falling value of the U.S. dollar, rising commodity prices, distressed credit ratings and problems with inflation, the thought of pushing new money into the stock market is definitely not a popular idea.

After testing the January lows somewhat successfully, I feel as though the market's conditions may finally be seeing improvement. In my honest opinion, we are oversold. While the market may continue a downtrend, an oversold market is no place for shorting... and reaching into the bargain bin in the first half 2008 may be the best move you ever make.

Looking into "safe" areas of the market, our selections are few and far between. Straying away from the popular markets like tobacco and discount foods, I want to highlight some areas of the stock market where high growth remains a potential... and risk remains somewhat in check. Which sub-industries am I talking about? Agriculture and Aerospace & Defense of course! :)

Agriculture

Out of all of the sectors in the stock market, agriculture is an investing hotbed that hasn't really slowed down or produced negative numbers for 2008. As we watched all of the pillars fall (banks, retailers, restaurants, etc.), agriculture's turn never came! The ag. commodities such as wheat, corn and soybeans have showed no signs of stopping their run-up, and the 2008 outlook out of these stellar companies has been nothing but positive. Whats more? Most of these companies come with low risk, despite high upside... something rare in today's market.

If you want to play this bull, and I suggest that you do, you want to keep a keen eye on Deere (NYSE: DE), Monsanto (NYSE: MON), Potash (NYSE: POT) and Mosaic (NYSE: MOS). Let's start with Deere. I feel that they are the safest way to play this ag boom because they are an industrials sector company by definition. I recommended this company back on February 11th, and my views really haven't changed. You aren't going to get a great valuation as they almost always trade at a premium to the market... but as long as you can catch a dip, I don't see this train slowing down any time soon.

Moving over to Monsanto, this is a fantastic investment if you can get in at an attractive price now. They recently announced a huge agreement with Becker Underwood and Plant Health Care to provide a new hybrid seed treatment platform. The Dow recently partnered up with Monsanto, and prospects are very good for the future.

Potash and Mosaic are really sitting on cloud nine right now. Even after we have seen a big drive into these companies over the past week, I think there is some space available and people really aren't being as aggressive as they should be. Mosaic is another stock that I recommended, this one back in late January, and their catalysts haven't changed. Their PEG is over 3. Ignore it. These ag. companies don't come cheap, but I see them continuing to stride upward.

Aerospace & Defense

Being an Industrials sector buff, you can't help but feel confident in the Aerospace & Defense industry. One thing that typically will not slow in recessionary times is the growth behind military contracting, national defense funding and aerospace development. With the ongoing war over in Iraq, there is a constant driver for most of the big five A&D firms, and much of this is guaranteed for 2008 and beyond. I like General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) and Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT).

I want to recommend Boeing (NYSE: BA), especially with their currently dirt-cheap valuation versus their historical trading range, but I just can't see through this cloudy future. Personally, I want to own them now, but with the disputes and such after losing a contract to a combined Northrop-Grumman and Airbus EAS team, their future is somewhat uncertain. Instead, I like General Dynamics. Not to be cliche, but Jim Cramer recently devoted an entire segment to this A&D powerhouse. They are the biggest holding in the industrials sector of the Nittany Lion Fund, LLC that I help manage, and we are very confident in their future success. If McCain is elected, this is a superstar. But even if he's not, this company is still secure in its fundamentals and is trading at a discount in a bullish industry.

The Aerospace & Defense industry is red hot, safe, and trading at a discount to its historical premiums despite leading the market averages this year. With this in mind, I like United Technologies and Lockheed Martin in addition to GD. UTX recently made a proposal to acquire Diebold, which would position United Tech for some solid growth opportunities overseas. All future implications remain bullish on the stock, and analysts seem to be loving this, the biggest domestic aerospace & defense company, for the future. Lockheed Martin is your typical flawless company that continues to impress. These folks don't disappoint and have had remarkable fundamentals and cash balance for as long as I can remember. LMT is safe and at an attractive price!

As investors, we need to look for safe havens like Agriculture and Aerospace & Defense for predictable growth, stability and recession-proofing measures in order to continue to grow our portfolios. I wanted to touch on commodity-tied stocks like those tied to Gold, Oil and Natural Gas... but we will be touching on those soon, so we will save the best for last. Focus on the Ag. and defense companies if you, like me, can sense an oversold market with some bargain prices up for grabs. Its one thing to catch a falling knife, but these industries really haven't fallen at all... so they are ripe for investment.

-The Net Fool

The author of this article is Jim "The Net Fool".

He is owner of theNetFool.com If you'd like to learn more about the stock market, you can visit http://www.thenetfool.com You'll find all the information you need!

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